2004-03-14 日記



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今天不知道要聊什麼.來談談今天早上上課的內容好了.小宗宗發現今天上的AW(分析寫作)還真是獲益不少,讓小宗宗了解到什麼才是作學問啊~先說說什麼是AW寫作,其中分Issue和Argument兩部份.今天先說Argument好了.題目就是給你一篇文章.看你能否挑出文章裡面的奇怪邏輯,並討論它.來看段範例

The following appeared in a memo from the mayor of the town of West Egg.

“Two years ago, our consultants predicted that West Egg’s landfill, which is used for garbage disposal, would be completely filled within five years. During the past two years, however, town residents have been recycling twice as much aluminum and paper as they did in previous years. Next month the amount of material recycled should further increase, since charges for garbage pickup will double. Furthermore, over ninety percent of the respondents to a recent survey said that they would do more recycling in the future. Because of our residents’ strong commitment to recycling, the available space in our landfill should last for considerably longer than predicted.
大意是兩年前某社區住戶居民的垃圾場經顧問預測可以使用5年.但過去兩年住戶回收的資源垃圾量是前幾年的兩倍.下個月的回收量應該還會增加.最近受訪的百分之九十的受訪者都願意回收更多的資源垃圾.因為住戶們的大力支持回收資源垃圾,垃圾掩埋場的空間將比預期的使用期限還要長.

乍看之下好像很合理啊~不過很多地方有漏洞可以攻擊.例如:下個月的回收量一定會增加嗎?萬一漸漸減少怎麼辦?
學術界裡做研究就是這樣.不斷的攻擊來攻擊去.有競爭才會有進步啊^^~